A Few Historical References to Edge Sorting

As part of my duties as expert witness for Phil Ivey, I had to write an “expert report.” This report was centered around answering three questions, one of which was, “Is edge sorting well-known to the casino industry?” In order to answer this, I scoured books, magazines, websites, newsletters, message boards, training manuals, card manufacturer sites and every other source I could find that mentioned edge sorting or asymmetric cards, no matter how minor the mention. I also searched out evidence that implied indirectly that edge sorting, or more generally first-card knowledge, is commonly addressed in game protection. For example, smart shoes, the Harrigan brush and plastic face plates. I wanted to build an overwhelming body of evidence to establish that edge sorting is well-known. I believe I succeeded.

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November 17, 2014: Pre-Conference Workshop at Raving’s Cutting Edge Table Games Conference

AAP-Promo

Phil Ivey -v- Crockfords

To bring you up to date, I was Ivey’s expert witness in this case: that has been the primary cause of my reluctance to post over the last few months, and in particular my complete absence of posts over the last month. In case you live under a rock and haven’t heard the news, Ivey lost the case. Continue reading

Card Counting the Dragon/Fortune 7 Baccarat Side Bet

[Note. The content of this post first appeared in September, 2011, at the WizardOfOdds website in this post.]

I first considered if the Dragon 7 baccarat side bet was susceptible to a card counting methodology in mid-2011 when it was exclusively a proprietary side bet owned by DEQ that was associated with the commission free baccarat variant EZ Baccarat. Since that time, the patent for both EZ Baccarat and the Dragon 7 bet have expired (see this post). Naturally, Shuffle Master (SHFL, Bally, whatever) pounced on the opportunity to grab the intellectual property. They re-branded the Dragon 7 as the “Fortune 7″ bet and are now actively marketing it as their own product. Ah, capitalism! Continue reading

Criss Cross Poker Hole-Card Play

Criss Cross Poker (CCP) is yet another stud poker clone. Like all poker clones, CCP faces a very tough road towards success. In recent months I’ve been contacted by a few people who have asked me to take a look at hole-carding CCP. Now that CCP is getting a few placements, I decided to do the analysis. Because CCP plays a lot like Mississippi Stud (MS), I thought that CCP might have very significant hole-card issues. As I will show, the player can get up to a 49.37% edge over the house seeing just one hole-card. I think that qualifies as significant. Continue reading