Advanced Advantage Play

AAP_Cover_Small_H200Please help support this FREE website and my efforts to uncover, analyze and shed light on the full spectrum of advantage play opportunities by buying my new book: Advanced Advantage Play: Beating and Safeguarding Modern Casino Table Games, Side Bets and Promotions. 

AAP contains more than 130 of the best posts on this site, edited and organized for quality of content, ease of reading and practical use. AAP is the first publicly available book to cover hole-card play, edge sorting, collaboration, card counting side bets  and many more advanced methods. For more information, please visit: advancedadvantageplay.com.  Now available at Amazon.com.

Advanced Advantage Play Seminar in Las Vegas, July 7, 2015

Presented by Eliot Jacobson and Bill Zender, Tuesday, July 7, 2015 at the Tuscany Suites and Casino, Las Vegas, 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM.

Very few of today’s advantage players are blackjack card counters. In the modern era, advantage players are finding innovative and potent ways to beat the house. This unique seminar starts where seminars on blackjack card counting leave off. You will learn new ways advantage players are beating the house. And you will learn what you need to know to defend your games against the next generation of threats. Continue reading

Commentary on Proposed W2G Change

The IRS is seeking feedback on a proposed change in their regulations that would change the win threshold for generating a W2G from $1200 to $600 for slot and video poker wins. You may not know that many slots have jackpot amounts of $1199 just to avoid this W2G problem. Players who win big rarely keep printed logs of their play to offset their W2G wins against their undocumented losses. Off the top of my head, this proposed regulation will slow down the games, increase the casino’s labor costs, require the remodeling of some slot machines and discourage gamblers from playing at higher levels or playing higher volatility games.

I defer to an expert on the subject and recommend the following commentary, which also contains concrete action steps you can take:

It’s Time to Get Our Friends (The Players) Involved!, by Jeffrey Compton

Ultimate Texas Hold’em Hole-Card Play: One Dealer Card

Ultimate Texas Hold’em (UTH) is among the most vulnerable novelty games to hole-card play. Between the dealer’s two cards and the five community cards, the player has seven opportunities to get some extra information. With the ability to make a Play bet that is 4x the player’s original Ante bet, any extra information can be leveraged into a big edge. In this post I am going to examine the case when the player knows one of the two dealer’s hole-cards before making his pre-Flop decision. See this post if you need a reminder of the way UTH is played and its basic strategy. Continue reading

Ultimate Texas Hold’em: Basic Strategy and Beyond

Ultimate Texas Hold’em (UTH) is one of the most popular novelty games in the U.S. For example, only Three Card Poker and Let it Ride have more placements in Nevada. What makes UTH so successful is its similarity to Hold’em poker together with the chance for a huge payday if the player makes a top hand. There are a number of advantage play opportunities against UTH, foremost of which is hole-card play. With the dealer receiving two hidden cards, and with five hidden Flop and Turn/River cards, the astute AP may acquire significant information in advance of making his betting decisions. Edges over 20% are possible. In my opinion, UTH is second only to Mississippi Stud (see this post and this post) in its overall vulnerability. Continue reading

Endorsements for Advanced Advantage Play

I am excited to share some of the recent endorsements I have received for my new book, Advanced Advantage Play: 

Bill Zender, casino game protection expert:

I highly recommend Advanced Advantage Play who are responsible for protecting casino games and all casino personnel looking to improve their gaming knowledge. 

Continue reading

Do Not Pass Go, Do Not Collect $1075

A recent article in the Lehigh Valley Live discussed a New Jersey man, Ikwaan Anin Dobbins, who was accused of cheating at Three Card Poker. What this goofball allegedly did was to “swap cards” (also called card mucking) to give himself better hands. This method of cheating involves playing more than one hand at a time, and switching cards between the two hands to improve one or both of the hands. As stated in the article, Dobbins was “unaware that he could not switch hands.” Dobbins allegedly felonious activities netted him a whopping $1,075. If found guilty, Dobbins may very well end up doing prison time, the so-called “Five-to-Ten bonus.” Continued here …

http://cdcgamingreports.com/commentaries/do-not-pass-go-do-not-collect-1075/

Exploiting Loss Rebates in Craps

Just after my book Advanced Advantage Play came out, a highly regarded AP asked me why I didn’t include loss rebates against craps in it (I do cover exploiting loss rebates against baccarat, blackjack and roulette). He opined that I was no doubt saving it for myself. Today, casinos throughout Las Vegas and elsewhere in the U.S. offer loss rebates on craps to their top-tier players. Finding a craps game with 3-4-5x odds (or higher) with a loss rebate incentive of 10% (or higher) is like finding a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow — it’s magically delicious. But rainbows do exist and many APs are enjoying their pots of gold.

The profitability of playing against a loss rebate is a function of both the house edge and the standard deviation of the game. The higher the house edge, the lower the profitability for the AP. The higher the standard deviation, the more profit the AP can get from the game. A game with low house edge and high standard deviation is the ideal situation. Blackjack, with its microscopic house edge and high standard deviation is often the game of choice when it comes to beating loss rebates. As Don Johnson showed (see this post and this post), a 20% loss rebate on blackjack can lead to profits in the millions of dollars. Continue reading

Nevada Table Games: Historical Hold Percentage Variations

This is a short but very interesting read: Nevada Table Games: Historical Hold Percentage Variations.

Here is the most telling graph from the report:

Nevada_Hold_1992_2014

Now, remind me, why do these guys care about “hold”?

Beating the 21 + 3 Blackjack Side Bet: Some Really Cool Graphs


It continues to amaze me that my posts on the 21 + 3 blackjack side bet are among the most frequently viewed articles on this site. This post (Beating the 21+3 Blackjack Side Bet) tops the list.  Because today is Wednesday, I created a computer program to look at how the edge for 21 + 3 changes as hands are dealt from a shoe. To be more specific, I considered a six-deck shoe with the cut card placed at 260 cards. For each hand, my program computed the exact edge for the 21 + 3 side bet based on the exact composition of the remaining cards in the shoe. I then used these edges on each hand to create a graph for the house edge for the 21 + 3 blackjack side bet over that shoe. I then repeated this experiment for 30 shoes. Continue reading

The Use of Deadly Force at South Point Casino

As I write this commentary, charges have just been filed against six Baltimore police officers involved in the death of Freddie Gray.  Baltimore prosecutor Marilyn Mosby said, “… This was a thorough investigation to get to the right result and I believe that we did.”  Among the surprising charges was one of murder in the second degree filed against the officer who was driving the van in which Gray was fatally injured. These charges followed several days of demonstrations and rioting, with the National Guard called in to help keep the peace.

Another story that made headlines this week concerned a security guard at South Point casino in Las Vegas who fired a shot into the windshield of a car containing two individuals suspected of theft. According to an article in the Las Vegas Review Journal, the security guard felt “fearful,”

Continue reading